Midtown-San Jose leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Midtown-San Jose typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midtown-San Jose, ~49% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midtown-San Jose compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Midtown-San Jose leans more Democratic than 4 of 21 neighbors.
Midtown-San Jose runs about 23 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Why Midtown-San Jose leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midtown-San Jose, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 79% of adults in Midtown-San Jose hold a bachelor's degree, about 51 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Midtown-San Jose sits in the top fifth on density (more than 99%, above 89% of neighborhoods).
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Midtown-San Jose, Palo Alto, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Midtown-San Jose looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Midtown-San Jose is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 99% of adults in Midtown-San Jose have completed high school, above 89% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Fairmeadow, Palo Alto, CA D+43
- Duveneck-Saint Francis, Palo Alto, CA D+44
- Ventura, Palo Alto, CA D+49
- Old Palo Alto, Palo Alto, CA D+69
- Barron Park, Palo Alto, CA D+40
- Crescent Park, Palo Alto, CA D+68
- University South, Palo Alto, CA D+66
- Downtown North San Jose, Palo Alto, CA D+64
- Stanford University, Stanford, CA D+64
- Monta Loma, Mountain View, CA D+46
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Menomonee River Hills, Milwaukee, WI D+63
- Crossroads, Boulder, CO D+73
- Clarkdale, Chicago, IL D+48
- Midway, Henderson, NV D+13
- Pacheco-Martinez, Martinez, CA D+32
- Pocono Country Place, Tobyhanna, PA D+41
- Fairbanks-Northwest Crossing, Houston, TX D+31
- Mount Scott, Portland, OR D+70
- Guide Meridian, Bellingham, WA D+41
- Candler Park, Atlanta, GA D+64
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.