Mill Shoals is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Mill Shoals typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mill Shoals, ~10% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mill Shoals compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mill Shoals leans more Republican than 26 of 58 neighbors.
Mill Shoals runs about 79 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Mill Shoals is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Mill Shoals leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mill Shoals, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Mill Shoals votes against the grain of Illinois. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Mill Shoals runs about 79 points more Republican. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 86% of residents in Mill Shoals drive to work alone, above 85% of cities. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Mill Shoals fits that profile on both counts.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Mill Shoals, IL sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Mill Shoals looks the way it does
Turnout in Mill Shoals sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Barnhill, IL R+72
- Burnt Prairie, IL R+68
- Springerton, IL R+68
- Merriam, IL R+73
- Golden Gate, IL R+74
- Fairfield, IL R+56
- Enfield, IL R+67
- Centerville, IL R+70
- Toms Prairie, IL R+73
- Thackeray, IL R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Truesdale, IA R+47
- Copen, WV R+63
- Tschetter Colony, SD R+67
- Pelham, MA D+56
- Treadwell, NY R+20
- Highland, TX R+76
- Rye Beach, NH D+15
- Belen, MS D+31
- View, TX R+71
- Starlight, PA R+40
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.