Minotola leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Minotola typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Minotola, ~27% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Minotola compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Minotola leans more Republican than 59 of 154 neighbors.
Minotola runs about 18 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Minotola is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Minotola leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Minotola, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Minotola votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 49%, modestly below the New Jersey average of 61%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Minotola runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Minotola, NJ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Minotola looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Minotola is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Landisville, NJ R+18
- Buena, NJ R+18
- Vineland, NJ D+7
- Richland, NJ R+25
- Newfield, NJ R+26
- Newtonville, NJ R+6
- Milmay, NJ R+37
- Collings Lakes, NJ R+28
- Mizpah, NJ R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Prichard, WV R+66
- West Swanzey, NH R+11
- Goodspring, TN R+71
- Woodsville, NH R+17
- Nichols, NY R+42
- Howe, OK R+70
- Keasbey, NJ D+3
- Merrifield, MN R+32
- Copan, OK R+65
- Atoka, NM R+68
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.