Moravia leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Moravia typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Moravia, ~21% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Moravia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Moravia leans more Republican than 95 of 118 neighbors.
Moravia runs about 45 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Moravia is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Moravia. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+42) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+30), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Moravia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Moravia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Moravia votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Moravia runs about 45 points more Republican.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Moravia, NY sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Moravia looks the way it does
Turnout in Moravia sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Montville, NY R+31
- Kelloggsville, NY R+35
- Indian Cove, NY R+36
- Dresserville, NY R+42
- Locke, NY R+36
- New Hope, NY R+32
- Glen Haven, NY R+38
- Casowasco, NY R+31
- Niles, NY R+30
- Genoa, NY R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clarkson Valley, MO R+22
- Apalachicola, FL R+34
- Nanty-Glo, PA R+45
- Red Boiling Springs, TN R+67
- Cloverdale, VA R+31
- Wilson, WY D+12
- St. Ignace, MI R+9
- Port Vue, PA R+13
- Lake Clarke Shores, FL R+12
- Camden, AL D+7
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.