Moscow leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 42% of adults in Moscow typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Moscow, ~11% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~58% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Moscow compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Moscow leans more Republican than 22 of 38 neighbors.
Moscow runs about 16 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Moscow leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Moscow. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Moscow, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Moscow looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Moscow sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Moscow sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in Moscow report food insecurity, above 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tamo, AR R+34
- Grady, AR R+5
- Tarry, AR R+31
- Madding, AR R+41
- Hooker, AR R+53
- Reydell, AR R+46
- Nebo, AR R+16
- Ladd, AR D+19
- Altheimer, AR D+2
Cities with Similar Populations
- Munday, WV R+66
- Jamaica, IL R+62
- Porterfield, OH R+41
- Creelsboro, KY R+75
- Craige, WA R+49
- Hortense, MO R+66
- Ruso, ND R+64
- Hamburg, AL D+40
- Diamond, OR R+65
- Summit, PA R+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.