Mount Carmel is a Republican stronghold. About 9% of voters here vote Democratic and 91% Republican.
About 94% of adults in Mount Carmel typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mount Carmel, ~8% vote Democratic, ~86% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mount Carmel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mount Carmel leans more Republican than 33 of 43 neighbors.
Mount Carmel runs about 69 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Mount Carmel leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mount Carmel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in Mount Carmel drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Mount Carmel, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Mount Carmel looks the way it does
Turnout in Mount Carmel sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Jay, FL R+82
- Pollard, AL R+85
- Riverview, AL R+87
- Dixonville, AL R+92
- Fidelis, FL R+81
- Berrydale, FL R+81
- Keego, AL R+86
- Brownsdale, FL R+84
- Cobbtown, FL R+80
- Flomaton, AL R+73
Cities with Similar Populations
- Horton, KY R+62
- Seco, KY R+70
- Scranton, ND R+72
- Farmers, KY R+45
- Farmersburg, IA R+40
- Swan Lake, GA R+4
- New Rome, WI R+30
- Haynes, AR R+14
- North Russell, NY R+40
- West Charlton, NY R+12
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.