Mount Carmel leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Mount Carmel typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mount Carmel, ~35% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mount Carmel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mount Carmel leans more Republican than 6 of 45 neighbors.
Politically, Mount Carmel sits close to the rest of South Carolina.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mount Carmel. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+17) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+64), a spread of about 81 points.
Why Mount Carmel leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mount Carmel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 94% of residents in Mount Carmel drive to work alone, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Mount Carmel, SC sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Mount Carmel looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Mount Carmel is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 62%, compared to around 56% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Willington, SC D+17
- Calhoun Falls, SC D+3
- Abbeville, SC R+27
- Gill, GA R+58
- Verdery, SC R+25
- Chennault, GA R+51
- Honora, GA R+51
- Troy, SC R+18
- Lowndesville, SC R+61
- McCormick, SC R+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Marengo, VA R+25
- Solgohachia, AR R+61
- Crenshaw, PA R+56
- Crystal Lake, IA R+46
- Galvin, WA R+31
- Helm, CA R+21
- Skedee, OK R+63
- Trace, WV R+80
- Minersville, WI R+7
- Lacey, OK R+74
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from South Carolina State Election Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.