New Buena Vista is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 77% of adults in New Buena Vista typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Buena Vista, ~12% vote Democratic, ~66% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Buena Vista compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Buena Vista leans more Republican than 81 of 126 neighbors.
New Buena Vista runs about 68 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why New Buena Vista leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Buena Vista, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In New Buena Vista, about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; New Buena Vista, PA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in New Buena Vista looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in New Buena Vista have completed high school, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Manns Choice, PA R+68
- New Baltimore, PA R+71
- Schellsburg, PA R+67
- Madley, PA R+73
- Daley, PA R+65
- Glen Savage, PA R+71
- Buffalo Mills, PA R+71
- Wolfsburg, PA R+57
- Central City, PA R+57
- Charlesville, PA R+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Monterey, KY R+63
- Womacks, VA R+30
- Tesuque, NM D+56
- Ruble, IA R+59
- Chain of Rocks, MO R+55
- Wingate, TX R+80
- Pleasant Plain, IN R+57
- Olivia, TX R+70
- Waka, TX R+88
- Green Bank, WV R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.