New Hartford is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 86% of adults in New Hartford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Hartford, ~41% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Hartford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Hartford leans more Republican than 6 of 132 neighbors.
New Hartford runs about 16 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while New Hartford is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New Hartford. The east side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+17), a spread of about 18 points.
Why New Hartford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Hartford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
New Hartford votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while New Hartford runs about 16 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; New Hartford, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in New Hartford looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. New Hartford is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in New Hartford have completed high school, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- New York Mills, NY R+17
- Chadwicks, NY R+17
- Yorkville, NY R+4
- Utica, NY D+9
- Whitesboro, NY R+19
- Clinton, NY D+5
- Sauquoit, NY R+34
- Kirkland, NY Even
- Franklin Springs, NY D+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Burtonsville, MD D+56
- Coweta, OK R+45
- Cleveland, MS D+22
- Upper Marlboro, MD D+76
- King City, CA D+14
- Lansdowne, PA D+68
- Clifton, VA D+19
- Pawleys Island, SC R+36
- Artesia, NM R+56
- Wimauma, FL R+17
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.