New Providence leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 84% of adults in New Providence typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in New Providence, ~50% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How New Providence compares
Among cities within 25 miles, New Providence leans more Democratic than 202 of 264 neighbors.
New Providence runs about 13 points more Democratic than New Jersey as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within New Providence. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+28) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+12), a spread of about 16 points.
Why New Providence leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for New Providence, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 90% of residents in New Providence live in densely developed areas, about 53 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and New Providence sits in the top quarter (about 69%, above 98% of cities).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; New Providence, NJ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in New Providence looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. New Providence is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in New Providence have completed high school, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Chatham, NJ D+18
- Summit, NJ D+29
- Berkeley Heights, NJ D+11
- Mountainside, NJ Even
- Green Village, NJ D+5
- Gillette, NJ Even
- Madison, NJ D+22
- Fanwood, NJ D+29
- Springfield, NJ D+18
- Scotch Plains, NJ D+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Edgewood, WA Even
- Nanticoke, PA R+17
- Berwyn, PA D+26
- Newcastle, WA D+43
- Kingston, MA D+4
- Longs, SC R+27
- Suffern, NY D+5
- Coopersburg, PA R+13
- Millbury, MA Even
- Weigelstown, PA R+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.