Newton leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Newton typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Newton, ~27% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Newton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Newton leans more Republican than 15 of 33 neighbors.
Newton runs about 35 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Newton is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Newton. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+31) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Newton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Newton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Newton votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Newton runs about 35 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Newton sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 90% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Newton, WA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Newton looks the way it does
Turnout in Newton sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Copalis Beach, WA R+16
- New London, WA R+30
- Copalis Crossing, WA R+25
- Oyhut, WA R+31
- Ocean Shores, WA D+11
- Pacific Beach, WA R+10
- Hoquiam, WA R+5
- Nisson, WA R+37
- Humptulips, WA R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hurstown, TX R+65
- Sheldon, SC Even
- Rogue Elk, OR R+21
- Davis Chapel, TN R+63
- Mapleview, MN R+3
- India, TX R+41
- Milford, GA R+49
- Love Valley, NC R+65
- Cerrogordo, FL R+80
- Parishville Center, NY R+22
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.