Nolanville leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 63% of adults in Nolanville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Nolanville, ~25% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Nolanville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Nolanville leans more Republican than 5 of 37 neighbors.
Nolanville runs about 7 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Nolanville. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+33) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Nolanville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Nolanville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Nolanville votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 52%, well above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Nolanville, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Nolanville looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Nolanville have completed high school, about 12 points above the Texas average of 86%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Nolanville sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Harker Heights, TX Even
- Dog Ridge, TX R+31
- Belton, TX R+32
- Killeen, TX D+23
- Maxdale, TX R+30
- Salado, TX R+57
- Morgans Point Resort, TX R+45
- Fort Hood, TX R+3
- Temple, TX R+15
- Youngsport, TX R+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stratford, NJ D+12
- North Caldwell, NJ R+2
- Rock Spring, GA R+67
- Prospect Park, NJ D+18
- Fruit Heights, UT R+32
- East Hills, NY D+3
- Iva, SC R+70
- Medina, MN Even
- Stedman, NC R+42
- Clermont, GA R+70
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.