Northampton is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Northampton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Northampton, ~38% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Northampton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Northampton leans more Republican than 40 of 86 neighbors.
Northampton runs about 17 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Northampton is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Northampton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Northampton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Northampton votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Northampton runs about 17 points more Republican.
Non-English at home and voter turnout
Places with a low non-English-at-home share tend to turn out at a higher rate; Northampton, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Northampton looks the way it does
Turnout in Northampton sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Calverton, NY R+22
- Riverhead, NY R+3
- Eastport, NY R+18
- Westhampton, NY Even
- Speonk, NY R+4
- Manorville, NY R+28
- Remsenburg, NY Even
- East Moriches, NY R+24
- Westhampton Beach, NY D+3
- Flanders, NY R+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cowart, MS D+6
- Denali National Park, AK R+36
- Allendale, MO R+65
- Angola on the Lake, NY R+20
- Oakmulgee, AL R+41
- Kurtz, MI R+42
- Shuler, AR R+62
- Cato, MO R+68
- Esmond, ND R+43
- Nevinville, IA R+53
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.