Oak Grove Village leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Oak Grove Village typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak Grove Village, ~18% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak Grove Village compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oak Grove Village leans more Republican than 3 of 58 neighbors.
Oak Grove Village runs about 30 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Oak Grove Village leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak Grove Village, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 91% of residents in Oak Grove Village drive to work alone, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Oak Grove Village sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 90% of cities).
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Oak Grove Village, MO sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Oak Grove Village looks the way it does
Turnout in Oak Grove Village sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sullivan, MO R+53
- West Sullivan, MO R+64
- Stanton, MO R+58
- St. Cloud, MO R+63
- Spring Bluff, MO R+64
- Miramiguoa Park, MO R+57
- Bourbon, MO R+61
- Japan, MO R+63
- Coffeyton, MO R+62
- Strain, MO R+62
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tonyville, CA R+19
- Elbing, KS R+59
- Portageville, NY R+47
- Glenisle, CO R+14
- Huasna, CA R+22
- Lookout, KY R+72
- Clontarf, MN R+40
- Paradise, MT R+59
- Ruble, MO R+65
- Glasco, KS R+68
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.