Oak is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Oak typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak, ~13% vote Democratic, ~67% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oak leans more Republican than 44 of 48 neighbors.
Oak runs about 49 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Oak leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in Oak hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Missouri average of 22%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Oak, MO does.
Why turnout in Oak looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. More than 99% of adults in Oak have completed high school, about 10 points above the Missouri average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Amity, MO R+67
- Clarksdale, MO R+61
- Helena, MO R+60
- Union Star, MO R+64
- Hurlingen, MO R+53
- Rochester, MO R+60
- Cosby, MO R+51
- Fairport, MO R+66
- Stewartsville, MO R+55
- Maysville, MO R+55
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gholsonville, VA R+10
- Spires, IL R+55
- Mance, PA R+72
- Lowland, NC R+38
- Marrtown, ME D+16
- Deckers Point, PA R+67
- Centertown, PA R+51
- Long Branch, IL R+62
- Snap, KY R+63
- Rocky Branch, TX R+60
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.