Oaks, MS Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Oaks

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Oaks leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.

 

About 51% of adults in Oaks typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oaks, ~31% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Oaks compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Oaks leans more Democratic than 40 of 52 neighbors.

Oaks runs about 47 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Oaks is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oaks. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+29) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+13), a spread of about 16 points.

Why Oaks leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oaks, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Rural, majority-Black areas of the Southern Black Belt vote Democratic, against the usual rural pattern. About 84% of residents in Oaks are Black or African American, about 48 points above the Mississippi average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 46% of adults in Oaks have never been married, above 97% of cities. Oaks runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Food insecurity and voter turnout

Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Oaks, MS sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.

Why turnout in Oaks looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Oaks is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 8%, about 52 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Oaks report food insecurity, above 92% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Oaks have completed high school, below 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.