Oconto leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Oconto typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oconto, ~22% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oconto compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oconto leans more Republican than 14 of 42 neighbors.
Oconto runs about 35 points more Republican than Wisconsin as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oconto. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+45) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Oconto leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oconto, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oconto votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 21%, about 15 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Oconto sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 80% of cities).
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Oconto, WI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Oconto looks the way it does
Turnout in Oconto sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pensaukee, WI R+42
- Stiles Junction, WI R+46
- Lena, WI R+44
- Stiles, WI R+44
- Abrams, WI R+44
- Peshtigo, WI R+33
- Oconto Falls, WI R+33
- Coleman, WI R+43
- Little Suamico, WI R+43
- Spruce, WI R+43
Cities with Similar Populations
- Swansboro, NC R+45
- Montesano, WA R+13
- Unionville, NC R+55
- Madison, SD R+33
- Oceano, CA D+9
- Rose Hill, KS R+46
- Diboll, TX R+29
- Belle Fourche, SD R+56
- Mohave Valley, AZ R+44
- Pittsboro, IN R+41
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wisconsin Elections Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.