Ohio is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Ohio typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ohio, ~12% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ohio compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ohio leans more Republican than 43 of 48 neighbors.
Ohio runs about 50 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Ohio leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ohio, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Ohio live in densely developed areas, about 17 points below the Missouri average of 22%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Ohio fits that profile on both counts.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Ohio, MO sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Ohio looks the way it does
Turnout in Ohio sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lowry City, MO R+65
- Vista, MO R+68
- Iconium, MO R+63
- Osceola, MO R+62
- Mount Zion, MO R+64
- Deepwater, MO R+65
- Harper, MO R+64
- Monegaw Springs, MO R+70
- Gaines, MO R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zumbro, MS Even
- Crawford, OH R+61
- Twin Oak, TN R+69
- Valeene, IN R+61
- Canfield, WV R+61
- Bent, NM R+27
- Somers, IA R+57
- Pine Grove, NY R+49
- Kanona, NY R+50
- Shandon, OH R+62
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.