Orange leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Orange typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orange, ~19% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Orange compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Orange leans more Republican than 8 of 28 neighbors.
Orange runs about 30 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Orange. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+44) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+78), a spread of about 122 points.
Why Orange leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Orange, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Orange votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 48%, modestly above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Orange, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Orange looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Orange is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- West Orange, TX R+50
- Oilla, TX R+73
- Orangefield, TX R+69
- Bridge City, TX R+72
- Toomey, LA R+83
- Mauriceville, TX R+81
- Niblett Bluff, LA R+85
- Deweyville, TX R+82
- Vidor, TX R+76
- Vinton, LA R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Monrovia, CA D+27
- East Stroudsburg, PA D+12
- Perrysburg, OH R+7
- Catonsville, MD D+34
- DeKalb, IL D+28
- Levittown, NY R+21
- Romeoville, IL D+15
- Menlo Park, CA D+64
- Midlothian, TX R+42
- Parkersburg, WV R+35
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.