Oxford leans slightly Democratic by roughly 8 points: about 54% of voters vote Democratic and 46% Republican.
About 93% of adults in Oxford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oxford, ~50% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~7% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oxford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oxford leans more Democratic than 82 of 86 neighbors.
Oxford runs about 21 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole.
Why Oxford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oxford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 62% of adults in Oxford hold a bachelor's degree, about 34 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Population density, never-married share, and Democratic lean
Places that combine high population density and a low never-married share tend to lean Democratic, as Oxford, MD does.
Why turnout in Oxford looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Oxford is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Oxford have completed high school, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Royal Oak, MD Even
- Trappe, MD Even
- Kirkham, MD D+4
- Ivytown, MD R+11
- Easton, MD D+4
- Lloyds, MD R+30
- St. Michaels, MD D+12
- Neavitt, MD R+7
- Cornersville, MD R+36
- Unionville, MD R+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- White Creek, NY R+23
- Oakland, KY R+47
- Riviera, TX R+26
- Viola, KS R+59
- Hayden Lake, ID R+38
- Lemmon, SD R+61
- Mer Rouge, LA Even
- Ripley, MD D+35
- Hiram, TX R+59
- Lebo, KS R+60
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.