Pace is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 50% of adults in Pace typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pace, ~24% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~50% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pace compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pace leans more Republican than 36 of 60 neighbors.
Pace runs about 19 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pace. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+56) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+34), a spread of about 90 points.
Why Pace leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Pace. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Pace, MS does.
Why turnout in Pace looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Pace is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 5%, about 55 points below the U.S. average of 60%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 42% of adults in Pace report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Symonds, MS D+49
- Renova, MS D+45
- Skene, MS R+37
- Cleveland, MS D+22
- Merigold, MS D+24
- Boyle, MS R+23
- Niles, MS D+59
- Beulah, MS D+47
- Mound Bayou, MS D+80
Cities with Similar Populations
- Glover, VT R+2
- Bethel, MN R+38
- Lake Lynn, PA R+58
- Winfield, TX R+71
- Pleasanton, NE R+70
- Biron, WI R+27
- Aneth, UT D+40
- Hill Country Village, TX R+26
- Riderville, TX R+71
- Oakley, ID R+78
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.