Phoenix is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Phoenix typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Phoenix, ~12% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Phoenix compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Phoenix leans more Republican than 34 of 36 neighbors.
Phoenix runs about 42 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Why Phoenix leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Phoenix, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Phoenix live in densely developed areas, about 12 points below the Mississippi average of 15%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Phoenix are family households, above 84% of cities.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Phoenix, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Phoenix looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Phoenix sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mechanicsburg, MS R+66
- Eldorado, MS R+58
- Satartia, MS R+66
- Nevada, MS R+39
- Little Yazoo, MS R+23
- Oil City, MS R+51
- Brownsville, MS R+7
- Haynes Bluff, MS R+54
- Bentonia, MS R+40
- Bovina, MS R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pulaski, IL R+22
- Alpha, MI R+26
- Claysville, KY R+61
- White City, IL R+45
- Rimini, MT R+16
- Fraser, NY Even
- Edgar, TX R+59
- Maida, ND R+46
- Furrs, MS R+15
- Brady, MT R+61
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.