Phoenix leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Phoenix typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Phoenix, ~37% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Phoenix compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Phoenix leans more Republican than 18 of 57 neighbors.
Phoenix runs about 5 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Why Phoenix leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Phoenix. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Phoenix, NC sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Phoenix looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Phoenix is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hooper Hill, NC D+3
- Northwest, NC R+28
- Sandy Creek, NC R+45
- Gooseneck, NC R+21
- Navassa, NC D+5
- Leland, NC R+18
- The Borough, NC R+17
- Belville, NC R+16
- Montague, NC R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Garrett, IL R+65
- Folk, MO R+75
- Palava, TX R+75
- Slate Springs, MS R+70
- Sutliff, IA R+9
- Tyre, MI R+51
- Tuleta, TX R+64
- Roseburg, PA R+65
- Otter Creek, FL R+49
- Riparius, NY R+18
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.