Popes Creek leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Popes Creek typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Popes Creek, ~33% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Popes Creek compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Popes Creek leans more Republican than 50 of 95 neighbors.
Popes Creek runs about 47 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Popes Creek is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Popes Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Popes Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Popes Creek votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Popes Creek runs about 47 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 94% of households in Popes Creek are family households, in the top fraction of cities.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Popes Creek, MD does.
Why turnout in Popes Creek looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. More than 99% of adults in Popes Creek have completed high school, about 8 points above the Maryland average of 91%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Popes Creek own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Newburg, MD R+23
- Faulkner, MD R+37
- Newport, MD R+44
- Bel Alton, MD R+31
- Wicomico, MD R+46
- Dahlgren, VA R+15
- Mount Victoria, MD R+26
- Issue, MD R+29
- Port Tobacco Village, MD R+20
- Ryceville, MD R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Sutton, NH Even
- Maxinkuckee, IN R+51
- Flournoy, CA R+50
- Eunice, KY R+72
- Greensboro, IN R+59
- Amo, IN R+60
- Sickles, OK R+74
- Brantingham, NY R+28
- Peedee, KY R+60
- St. Ann, MS D+10
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.