Red Ash, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Red Ash

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Red Ash is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.

 

About 79% of adults in Red Ash typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Red Ash, ~13% vote Democratic, ~67% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Red Ash compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Red Ash leans more Republican than 43 of 140 neighbors.

Red Ash runs about 73 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Red Ash is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Red Ash leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Red Ash, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Red Ash votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Red Ash runs about 73 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Red Ash are family households, above 86% of cities.

Housing overcrowding and voter turnout

Places with low overcrowding tend to turn out at a higher rate; Red Ash, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Red Ash looks the way it does

Turnout in Red Ash sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.