Rocky Gap is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Rocky Gap typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rocky Gap, ~13% vote Democratic, ~70% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Rocky Gap compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Rocky Gap leans more Republican than 79 of 110 neighbors.
Rocky Gap runs about 74 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Rocky Gap is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Rocky Gap leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Rocky Gap, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Rocky Gap live in densely developed areas, about 22 points below the Virginia average of 26%. Rocky Gap runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Rocky Gap, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Rocky Gap looks the way it does
Turnout in Rocky Gap sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hicksville, VA R+65
- Round Bottom, VA R+71
- Clear Fork, VA R+65
- Maple View, WV R+39
- Ingleside, WV R+63
- Green Valley, WV R+56
- Bluestone, WV R+70
- Pumpkin Center, VA R+72
- Bluefield, WV R+33
- Bastian, VA R+70
Cities with Similar Populations
- Casa Blanco, FL R+27
- Ingleside, NY R+27
- Walsh, IL R+60
- Richmond, MS R+67
- Stone City, IA R+31
- Palmer, IA R+57
- Tappan, WV R+52
- Tappen, ND R+68
- North Wellville, VA R+33
- Burlington, ME R+38
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.