Rolling Fork, MS Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Rolling Fork

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Rolling Fork is a Democratic stronghold. About 79% of voters here vote Democratic and 21% Republican.

 

About 68% of adults in Rolling Fork typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rolling Fork, ~54% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Rolling Fork compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Rolling Fork is the most Democratic-leaning.

Rolling Fork runs about 81 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Rolling Fork is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Rolling Fork. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+86) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+17), a spread of about 103 points.

Why Rolling Fork leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Rolling Fork, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Rolling Fork is about 21%, about 52 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 48% of adults in Rolling Fork have never been married, above 97% of cities. Rolling Fork runs against the grain of Mississippi, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Rolling Fork, MS sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Rolling Fork looks the way it does

Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Rolling Fork sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.