Rosebud leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Rosebud typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rosebud, ~22% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Rosebud compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Rosebud leans more Republican than 5 of 48 neighbors.
Rosebud runs about 24 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Rosebud. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+63) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+27), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Rosebud leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Rosebud, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rosebud votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 52%, well above the Texas average of 35%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Rosebud, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Rosebud looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Rosebud is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 5 points below the Texas average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pleasant Grove, TX R+61
- Travis, TX R+61
- Zipperlandville, TX R+61
- Wilderville, TX R+61
- Briary, TX R+66
- Burlington, TX R+70
- Ben Arnold, TX R+66
- Westphalia, TX R+67
- Lott, TX R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Minneota, MN R+47
- North Hampton, OH R+52
- Emmett, MI R+51
- Sterling, OK R+68
- China Lake Acres, CA R+39
- Birchwood, WI R+32
- Joaquin, TX R+69
- Blossburg, PA R+48
- Rural Valley, PA R+56
- Oriskany Falls, NY R+39
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.