Scottsbluff leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Scottsbluff typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Scottsbluff, ~23% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Scottsbluff compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Scottsbluff is the least Republican-leaning.
Scottsbluff runs about 11 points more Republican than Nebraska as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Scottsbluff. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+54) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+14), a spread of about 40 points.
Why Scottsbluff leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Scottsbluff, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Scottsbluff votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 74%, far above the Nebraska average of 17%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Scottsbluff, NE sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Scottsbluff looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Scottsbluff is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Terrytown, NE R+39
- Gering, NE R+43
- Mitchell, NE R+60
- Minatare, NE R+65
- Melbeta, NE R+73
- Morrill, NE R+63
- Stegall, NE R+68
- Mcgrew, NE R+74
- Moomaw Corner, NE R+76
- Lyman, NE R+72
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lafayette, GA R+65
- Randleman, NC R+50
- Steamboat Springs, CO D+23
- Mitchell, SD R+40
- North Providence, RI D+14
- North Potomac, MD D+46
- Oak Grove, OR D+37
- Carnegie, PA D+7
- Cairo, GA R+15
- Paris, TN R+44
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Nebraska Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.