Seneca Falls leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Seneca Falls typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Seneca Falls, ~31% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Seneca Falls compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Seneca Falls leans more Republican than 14 of 113 neighbors.
Seneca Falls runs about 24 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Seneca Falls is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Seneca Falls. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+25) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Seneca Falls leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Seneca Falls, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Seneca Falls votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 37%, above 83% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Seneca Falls runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Seneca Falls, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Seneca Falls looks the way it does
Turnout in Seneca Falls sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Waterloo, NY R+25
- Cayuga, NY R+29
- Tyre, NY R+42
- Fayette, NY R+28
- Oakwood, NY R+20
- Dublin, NY R+47
- Union Springs, NY R+13
- Fosterville, NY R+33
- Pastime Park, NY R+30
- Half Acre, NY R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Landenberg, PA D+8
- Coral Hills, MD D+86
- Grosse Pointe Farms, MI D+12
- Liberty, TX R+45
- Rio Vista, CA D+3
- D'Iberville, MS R+24
- Palos Park, IL R+8
- Milton, WI R+19
- Pine Hill, NJ D+26
- East York, PA Even
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.