Sheppard Afb leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 41% of adults in Sheppard Afb typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Sheppard Afb, ~18% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~59% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Sheppard Afb compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Sheppard Afb is the least Republican-leaning.
Politically, Sheppard Afb sits close to the rest of Texas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Sheppard Afb. The southeast side is the most split-leaning (R+30) and the east side is the least split-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Sheppard Afb leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Sheppard Afb, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Sheppard Afb votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 95%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Sheppard Afb, TX does.
Why turnout in Sheppard Afb looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Sheppard Afb is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 96% of households in Sheppard Afb rent, compared to around 19% in nearby cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Sheppard Afb have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cashion Community, TX R+70
- Pleasant Valley, TX R+64
- Wichita Falls, TX R+26
- Burkburnett, TX R+56
- Dean, TX R+78
- Iowa Park, TX R+64
- Kamay, TX R+81
- Jolly, TX R+77
- Lakeside City, TX R+75
- DeVol, OK R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bloomer, WI R+34
- Colbert, GA R+45
- Merion Station, PA D+58
- Algona, IA R+34
- Mahanoy City, PA R+7
- Woodville, TX R+56
- Port Isabel, TX R+6
- Laingsburg, MI R+24
- Dequincy, LA R+63
- West Milton, OH R+49
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.