Small leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Small typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Small, ~24% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Small compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Small leans more Republican than 22 of 61 neighbors.
Small runs about 25 points more Republican than North Carolina as a whole.
Why Small leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Small, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Small live in densely developed areas, about 24 points below the North Carolina average of 27%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Small sits in the bottom quarter (about 6%, below 98% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Small, NC sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Small looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Small own their home, about 19 points above the North Carolina average of 74%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Small sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Edward, NC R+20
- Aurora, NC R+11
- Royal, NC R+23
- Cayton, NC R+55
- Bonnerton, NC R+16
- Olympia, NC R+61
- Alliance, NC R+37
- McConnell, NC R+28
- Reelsboro, NC R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Nightmute, AK D+22
- Yarmouth, IA R+52
- Hebron, PA R+62
- Kirk, AL R+50
- Zebina, GA D+36
- Louisburg, MN R+34
- Millington, MS D+29
- Talcott, WV R+55
- Watchorn, OK R+60
- Horsegall, SC R+42
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.