Smith Hill leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Smith Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Smith Hill, ~18% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Smith Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Smith Hill leans more Republican than 12 of 42 neighbors.
Smith Hill runs about 35 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Smith Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Smith Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Smith Hill live in densely developed areas, about 30 points below the Texas average of 35%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Smith Hill, TX sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Smith Hill looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in Smith Hill own their home, about 18 points above the Texas average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Burns, TX R+52
- Whaley, TX R+61
- Hooks, TX R+54
- Redbank, TX R+69
- New Boston, TX R+20
- Malta, TX R+77
- Victory City, TX R+71
- Wallace, AR R+46
- Old Boston, TX R+78
- Red Lick, TX R+64
Cities with Similar Populations
- St. Mary, MT D+36
- Pomp, KY R+66
- Limestone, MT R+49
- Himrod, IL R+50
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.