South China leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 94% of adults in South China typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South China, ~39% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South China compares
Among cities within 25 miles, South China leans more Republican than 38 of 93 neighbors.
South China runs about 25 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while South China is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why South China leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South China, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
South China votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while South China runs about 25 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; South China, ME sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in South China looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. South China is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in South China own their home, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- China, ME R+19
- Vassalboro, ME R+17
- North Vassalboro, ME R+19
- Palermo, ME R+23
- Jones Corner, ME R+23
- Somerville, ME R+32
- North Palermo, ME R+26
- Windsor, ME R+34
- Sandhill Corner, ME R+30
- Weeks Mills, ME R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wellington, NV R+47
- Essex Fells, NJ Even
- Horton, KS R+35
- Capron, VA R+9
- Prairie Grove, IL R+10
- Silverlake, WA R+36
- Jeromesville, OH R+61
- Paxinos, PA R+48
- Meansville, GA R+76
- Mount Hood-Parkdale, OR D+10
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.