State Farm leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 46% of adults in State Farm typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in State Farm, ~18% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How State Farm compares
Among cities within 25 miles, State Farm leans more Republican than 40 of 87 neighbors.
State Farm runs about 27 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while State Farm is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within State Farm. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+34) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+18), a spread of about 16 points.
Why State Farm leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for State Farm, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 11% of adults in State Farm hold a bachelor's degree, about 18 points below the Virginia average of 29%. State Farm runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; State Farm, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in State Farm looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. State Farm is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in State Farm report food insecurity, above 87% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 75% of adults in State Farm have completed high school, below 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Crozier, VA R+21
- Lee, VA R+19
- Beaumont, VA R+30
- Fine Creek Mills, VA R+34
- Jefferson, VA R+32
- Michaux, VA R+25
- Oilville, VA R+22
- Maidens, VA R+26
- Powhatan, VA R+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Touchet, WA R+56
- Chili, WI R+45
- Denver, OH R+62
- Goldston, NC R+40
- Diamond Springs, MI R+46
- Lockwood, MO R+62
- Council, ID R+58
- Ashcamp, KY R+69
- Milton, TN R+57
- Edgerton, MI R+31
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.