Swans Island leans Democratic by roughly 18 points: about 59% of voters vote Democratic and 41% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 88% of adults in Swans Island typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Swans Island, ~52% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Swans Island compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Swans Island leans more Democratic than 25 of 43 neighbors.
Swans Island runs about 12 points more Democratic than Maine as a whole.
Why Swans Island leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Swans Island, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 43% of adults in Swans Island hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Swans Island, ME sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Swans Island looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Swans Island is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 65%, above 67% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bass Harbor, ME D+19
- Bernard, ME D+19
- Naskeag, ME D+19
- Seal Cove, ME D+19
- Seawall, ME D+8
- Southwest Harbor, ME D+10
- South Deer Isle, ME Even
- Brooklin, ME D+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Russ, MO R+71
- Ericson, NE R+73
- Highwood, MT R+51
- Lawrenceville, AL R+41
- Mass City, MI R+25
- Ocoonita, VA R+63
- St. Francis, AR R+67
- Quaker, KS R+65
- North Hampton, IL R+34
- Cedron, OH R+66
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.