Syracuse leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 69% of adults in the Syracuse area typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in the Syracuse area, ~38% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Syracuse compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Syracuse leans more Democratic than 108 of 119 neighbors.
Politically, Syracuse sits close to the rest of New York.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Syracuse. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+47) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+33), a spread of about 80 points.
Why Syracuse leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Syracuse, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 62% of residents in the Syracuse area live in densely developed areas, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Syracuse sits in the top quarter (about 36%, above 83% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 36% of adults in the Syracuse area have never been married, above 89% of cities.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Syracuse, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Syracuse looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Syracuse is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 63% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lyncourt, NY D+8
- Solvay, NY D+8
- Westvale, NY D+22
- Mattydale, NY D+5
- Jamesville, NY D+22
- Fairmount, NY D+14
- East Syracuse, NY D+8
- Nedrow, NY D+6
- North Syracuse, NY D+6
- Liverpool, NY D+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Daytona Beach, FL R+19
- Provo, UT R+36
- Winston-Salem, NC R+9
- Wichita, KS R+13
- Madison, WI D+37
- Ogden, UT R+24
- Poughkeepsie, NY Even
- Akron, OH D+5
- Jackson, MS D+8
- Des Moines, IA D+2
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.