Thunder Hawk is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Thunder Hawk typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Thunder Hawk, ~11% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Thunder Hawk compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Thunder Hawk leans more Republican than 8 of 10 neighbors.
Thunder Hawk runs about 40 points more Republican than South Dakota as a whole.
Why Thunder Hawk leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Thunder Hawk, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Thunder Hawk live in densely developed areas, about 8 points below the South Dakota average of 9%.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Thunder Hawk, SD does.
Why turnout in Thunder Hawk looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Thunder Hawk have completed high school, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 90%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lemmon, SD R+61
- Lemmon, ND R+41
- North Lemmon, ND R+62
- Morristown, ND R+41
- Shadehill, SD R+70
- Meadow, SD R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- York, IL R+57
- Woodside, LA R+71
- Hoguetown, PA R+55
- Annamoriah, WV R+66
- Centennial Heights, MI R+13
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from South Dakota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.