Trout River leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Trout River typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Trout River, ~20% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Trout River compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Trout River leans more Republican than 26 of 37 neighbors.
Trout River runs about 50 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Trout River is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Trout River leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Trout River, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Trout River, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 18 points below the New York average of 34%. Trout River runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Trout River, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Trout River looks the way it does
Turnout in Trout River sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Constable, NY R+38
- Westville Center, NY R+37
- Sun, NY R+39
- Burke, NY R+38
- North Burke, NY R+36
- Fort Covington Center, NY R+32
- Burke Center, NY R+36
- Malone, NY R+16
- Fort Covington, NY R+32
- Thayer Corners, NY R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Powys, PA R+59
- Eagan, TN R+74
- Mc Caulley, TX R+74
- Youngs, NY R+32
- Wiseman, AR R+66
- Hastings, WV R+68
- Victory Mills, NY R+16
- Seaville, KY R+65
- Covel, WV R+73
- Lambs Grove, IA R+37
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.