Tumbling is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 68% of adults in Tumbling typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tumbling, ~9% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~32% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tumbling compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tumbling leans more Republican than 59 of 63 neighbors.
Tumbling runs about 43 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why Tumbling leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Tumbling. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Tumbling, TN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Tumbling looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Tumbling is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gleason, TN R+74
- Henry, TN R+70
- Jewell, TN R+74
- Macedonia, TN R+70
- McKenzie, TN R+52
- Hinkledale, TN R+69
- Pillowville, TN R+71
- Routon, TN R+69
- Osage, TN R+70
- Jones Mill, TN R+72
Cities with Similar Populations
- Godahl, MN R+49
- Schneider, IN R+58
- Nauvoo, TN R+68
- Mulberry, KY R+41
- North McAlester, OK R+45
- Mount Olive, KY R+64
- East Blythe, CA R+19
- Beverly Beach, FL R+39
- Island Ford, VA R+55
- Blue Mound, KS R+74
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.