Umpire is a Republican stronghold. About 12% of voters here vote Democratic and 88% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Umpire typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Umpire, ~6% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Umpire compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Umpire leans more Republican than 36 of 43 neighbors.
Umpire runs about 46 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Umpire leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Umpire. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Umpire, AR sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Umpire looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Umpire is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Newhope, AR R+80
- Burg, AR R+76
- Langley, AR R+83
- Dierks, AR R+69
- Lebanon, AR R+73
- Big Fork, AR R+68
- Grannis, AR R+66
- Board Camp, AR R+64
- Daisy, AR R+82
Cities with Similar Populations
- Eleroy, IL R+41
- Zamora, NM R+8
- North Bristol, WI D+3
- Worden, KS R+17
- San Perlita, TX R+45
- Hayden, MO R+68
- Chriesman, TX R+67
- Little Walnut, OH R+56
- Oliver, GA R+28
- Lombard, WI R+53
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.