Upper Mongaup leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Upper Mongaup typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Upper Mongaup, ~35% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Upper Mongaup compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Upper Mongaup leans more Republican than 28 of 121 neighbors.
Upper Mongaup runs about 24 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Upper Mongaup is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Upper Mongaup leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Upper Mongaup, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Upper Mongaup votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Upper Mongaup runs about 24 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Upper Mongaup, NY sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Upper Mongaup looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Upper Mongaup own their home, about 19 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sparrow Bush, NY R+33
- Glen Spey, NY R+17
- Pond Eddy, NY R+13
- Matamoras, PA R+17
- Huguenot, NY R+34
- Highland Lake, NY R+6
- Kohlertown, NY R+19
- Port Jervis, NY R+17
- Hartwood, NY R+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Lynchburg, SC D+49
- Jerome, IA R+58
- Lisbon, MO R+61
- Heavener Grove, WV R+64
- Dabney, WV R+66
- Harvard Station, MA D+29
- Pan Tak, AZ D+51
- Surveyor, PA R+66
- The Glen, NH R+38
- Marshlands, PA R+61
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.