Vale is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Vale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vale, ~13% vote Democratic, ~70% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vale leans more Republican than 14 of 18 neighbors.
Vale runs about 82 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Vale is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Vale. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+74) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+63), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Vale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Vale votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 21%, modestly below the Oregon average of 31%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Vale runs against the grain of Oregon, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Vale, OR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Vale looks the way it does
Turnout in Vale sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Willowcreek, OR R+74
- Ontario, OR R+34
- Nyssa, OR R+38
- Harper, OR R+69
- Fruitland, ID R+56
- Jamieson, OR R+65
- Payette, ID R+53
- Parma, ID R+62
- Brogan, OR R+66
- Crystal, ID R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Pittsburg, TN R+47
- Garnett, KS R+51
- Morriston, FL R+61
- Stevenson, AL R+63
- Bridgton, ME D+3
- Pinedale, WY R+49
- Woodford, VA R+25
- Darien, GA R+25
- Clinton, MI R+28
- Vevay, IN R+63
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.