Valencia Park leans heavily Democratic by roughly 46 points: about 73% of voters vote Democratic and 27% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Valencia Park typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valencia Park, ~34% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Valencia Park compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Valencia Park leans more Democratic than 27 of 33 neighbors.
Valencia Park runs about 25 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Valencia Park. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+60) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+37), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Valencia Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valencia Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Valencia Park is about 4%, about 69 points below the U.S. average of 72%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Valencia Park, San Diego, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Valencia Park looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Valencia Park is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in Valencia Park report food insecurity, above 81% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 73% of adults in Valencia Park have completed high school, below 93% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Lincoln Park, San Diego, CA D+40
- Emerald Hills, San Diego, CA D+45
- Alta Vista, San Diego, CA D+20
- Encanto, San Diego, CA D+29
- Chollas View, San Diego, CA D+37
- Mountain View San Diego, San Diego, CA D+32
- Ridgeview-Webster, San Diego, CA D+37
- Mount Hope, San Diego, CA D+35
- Paradise Hills, San Diego, CA D+21
- Oak Park, San Diego, CA D+30
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Fishkorn, Detroit, MI D+87
- Rose Village, Vancouver, WA D+30
- Hampden-Woodberry-Remington, Baltimore, MD D+52
- Lake Windcrest, Magnolia, TX R+51
- Village at North Hills, Northglenn, CO D+18
- Sehome, Bellingham, WA D+74
- Jacobs, Louisville, KY D+53
- Cutten, Eureka, CA D+16
- Strathmore, Syracuse, NY D+48
- Fairlawn, Washington, DC D+86
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.