Valley Spring is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Valley Spring typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valley Spring, ~9% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Valley Spring compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Valley Spring leans more Republican than 13 of 16 neighbors.
Valley Spring runs about 59 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Valley Spring leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valley Spring, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Valley Spring sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 40 points above the Texas average of 56%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Valley Spring, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Valley Spring looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Valley Spring own their home, about 15 points above the Texas average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Llano, TX R+60
- Castell, TX R+69
- Lone Grove, TX R+72
- Oxford, TX R+64
- Pontotoc, TX R+74
- Cherokee, TX R+76
- Bend, TX R+66
- Loyal Valley, TX R+67
- Art, TX R+69
- Buchanan Dam, TX R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mount Holly, VA R+6
- Hatley, MS R+80
- Peytona, WV R+67
- Harmony, ME R+33
- Wilsall, MT R+40
- Fisher, MN R+54
- Lynco, WV R+73
- Walnut Creek, OH R+78
- Rockbridge Baths, VA R+45
- Armagh, PA R+52
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.