Vance leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Vance typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Vance, ~46% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Vance compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Vance leans more Democratic than 31 of 35 neighbors.
Vance runs about 51 points more Democratic than South Carolina as a whole. South Carolina leans Republican overall, while Vance is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Vance. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+45) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+43), a spread of about 88 points.
Why Vance leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Vance, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Vance votes against the grain of South Carolina. South Carolina leans Republican overall, while Vance runs about 51 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 42% of adults in Vance have never been married, above 95% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Vance, SC sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Vance looks the way it does
Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Vance sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Santee, SC D+20
- Holly Hill, SC D+33
- Eutawville, SC D+16
- Elloree, SC D+10
- Summerton, SC R+2
- St. Paul, SC D+38
- Felderville, SC R+12
- Four Holes, SC R+11
- Rosinville, SC R+13
- Bowman, SC D+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ochelata, OK R+62
- Jeddo, MI R+49
- Notus, ID R+68
- Lake Nebagamon, WI R+18
- Sharps Chapel, TN R+70
- Bradford, RI R+8
- Hebron Estates, KY R+51
- Doolittle, TX R+8
- North Freedom, WI R+28
- Convoy, OH R+62
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from South Carolina State Election Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.