Waelder leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 60% of adults in Waelder typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Waelder, ~21% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~40% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Waelder compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Waelder leans more Republican than 2 of 48 neighbors.
Waelder runs about 17 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Waelder. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+64) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+21), a spread of about 43 points.
Why Waelder leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Waelder. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Waelder, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Waelder looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Waelder is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 50%, about 10 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Thompsonville, TX R+21
- Colony, TX R+69
- Sandy Fork, TX R+53
- Hickston, TX R+61
- Jeddo, TX R+63
- Old Moulton, TX R+54
- Flatonia, TX R+49
- Praha, TX R+66
- Saturn, TX R+64
- Rosanky, TX R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rock Point, AZ D+61
- New Beaver, PA R+51
- Worthington, KY R+47
- Dafter, MI R+34
- Indian Mound, TN R+69
- Stark, MN R+40
- Pierceville, KS R+59
- Killdeer, ND R+36
- Viola, WI R+16
- Glandorf, OH R+61
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.