Walnut Grove is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 37% of adults in Walnut Grove typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Walnut Grove, ~7% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~63% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Walnut Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Walnut Grove leans more Republican than 20 of 26 neighbors.
Walnut Grove runs about 67 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Walnut Grove is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Walnut Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Walnut Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Walnut Grove votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Walnut Grove runs about 67 points more Republican.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Walnut Grove, MN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Walnut Grove looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Walnut Grove sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 5% of homes in Walnut Grove have more than one occupant per room, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Revere, MN R+53
- Tracy, MN R+38
- Lamberton, MN R+56
- Lucan, MN R+66
- Dovray, MN R+55
- Milroy, MN R+64
- Amiret, MN R+53
- Westbrook, MN R+45
- Wanda, MN R+66
- Garvin, MN R+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Caulfield, MO R+72
- Eureka, LA R+85
- Lindside, WV R+67
- Union Grove, TX R+72
- Wessington Springs, SD R+45
- Tunstall, VA R+42
- Kendleton, TX Even
- Ebro, FL R+61
- Muse, PA R+27
- Ferron, UT R+76
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.