Walnut Valley leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Walnut Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Walnut Valley, ~39% vote Democratic, ~75% Republican, and ~-14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Walnut Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Walnut Valley leans more Republican than 122 of 153 neighbors.
Walnut Valley runs about 37 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Walnut Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Walnut Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Walnut Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Walnut Valley votes against the grain of New Jersey. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Walnut Valley runs about 37 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Walnut Valley, NJ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Walnut Valley looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Walnut Valley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and more than 99% of households in Walnut Valley own their home, compared to around 83% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Walnut Valley have completed high school, above 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hainesburg, NJ R+34
- Columbia, NJ R+35
- Jacksonburg, NJ R+31
- Shawnee On Delaware, PA D+10
- Blairstown, NJ R+31
- Mount Hermon, NJ R+36
- Portland, PA R+34
- Slateford, PA R+34
- Delaware Water Gap, PA D+13
- Delaware, NJ R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Purdum, NE R+82
- Alton, WV R+70
- Denmark, IN R+63
- Despard, WV R+41
- Kirby, WY R+73
- Elk Falls, KS R+72
- Leolyn, PA R+65
- Porters Crossroads, VA R+55
- Beland, OK R+53
- Taghkanic, NY D+10
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.