Warm Beach leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Warm Beach typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Warm Beach, ~34% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Warm Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Warm Beach leans more Republican than 56 of 63 neighbors.
Warm Beach runs about 40 points more Republican than Washington as a whole. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Warm Beach is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Warm Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Warm Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Warm Beach votes against the grain of Washington. Washington leans Democratic overall, while Warm Beach runs about 40 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Warm Beach runs against that pattern. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Warm Beach are family households, above 91% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Warm Beach, WA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Warm Beach looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Warm Beach own their home, about 19 points above the Washington average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Stanwood, WA R+16
- McKees Beach, WA R+16
- Sunday Lake, WA R+20
- Norman, WA R+20
- Northwest Stanwood, WA R+12
- Tulalip, WA R+14
- East Stanwood, WA R+23
- Camano Island, WA D+6
- Arlington, WA R+16
- Bryant, WA R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zimmerdale, KS R+41
- Buckhorn, MI R+18
- Lynn, OH R+65
- Bear Creek, PA R+38
- Rover, TN R+65
- Fryburg, PA R+59
- Fruitdale, IN R+50
- Keysville, MO R+65
- Waterlick, VA R+45
- Wimbledon, ND R+53
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Washington Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.